{"id":2831,"date":"2021-11-09T13:44:19","date_gmt":"2021-11-09T06:44:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/star-am.com\/?p=2831"},"modified":"2023-08-21T10:16:56","modified_gmt":"2023-08-21T10:16:56","slug":"star-insight-market-update-8-november-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/star-am.com\/id\/2021\/11\/09\/star-insight-market-update-8-november-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"STAR Insight, Market Update 8 November 2021"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 fusion-flex-container gradient-container-1 nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap\" style=\"max-width:1248px;margin-left: calc(-4% \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_3 1_3 fusion-flex-column fusion-flex-align-self-flex-start\" style=\"--awb-padding-bottom:2px;--awb-bg-image:url(&#039;https:\/\/star-am.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/20210823-STAR-Insight-Tabel.jpg&#039;);--awb-bg-blend:exclusion;--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:33.333333333333%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:5.76%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:0px;--awb-spacing-left-large:5.76%;--awb-width-medium:33.333333333333%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:5.76%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:5.76%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-space-evenly fusion-content-layout-row fusion-content-nowrap fusion-column-has-bg-image\" data-bg-url=\"https:\/\/star-am.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/20210823-STAR-Insight-Tabel.jpg\"><div class=\"fusion-image-element \" style=\"--awb-caption-title-font-family:var(--h2_typography-font-family);--awb-caption-title-font-weight:var(--h2_typography-font-weight);--awb-caption-title-font-style:var(--h2_typography-font-style);--awb-caption-title-size:var(--h2_typography-font-size);--awb-caption-title-transform:var(--h2_typography-text-transform);--awb-caption-title-line-height:var(--h2_typography-line-height);--awb-caption-title-letter-spacing:var(--h2_typography-letter-spacing);\"><span class=\" fusion-imageframe imageframe-none imageframe-1 hover-type-none\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/star-am.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/20211108-STAR-Insight-Tabel.jpg\" alt class=\"img-responsive\"\/><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-1 fusion_builder_column_2_3 2_3 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:66.666666666667%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:2.88%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:20px;--awb-spacing-left-large:2.88%;--awb-width-medium:66.666666666667%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:2.88%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:2.88%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\"><p><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><b>Tapering without tantrum<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><b>US equity &amp; bond went up after the Tapering announcement <\/b><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><b>US government to boost infrastructure spending <\/b><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><b>JCI slightly down as foreign net inflow slowed<br \/>\n<\/b><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); font-weight: var(--body_typography-font-weight); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><b>Tapering without tantrum; US Equity and Bond market up<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">US Markit Manufacturing PMI recorded at 58.4 in October 2021, lower than the market expectation of 59.2. The Fed maintained Interest Rate at 0.25% while deciding to reduce Treasury purchases by US$10bn and mortgage-backed securities by US$5bn totalling the reduction of the bond-buying program by US$15bn <b>per month starting later this month<\/b>. Following this news, the stock market and bond market went up. S&amp;P500 and Dow Jones increased by 2% and 1.4%, respectively, last week. The consumer discretionary sector led the positive performance of S&amp;P500 with a 4.99% increase, followed by technology, and materials sectors which booked 3.3%, and 3.2% gains. US Dollar Index was moving upward last week, increased by 1.13%, while 10Y treasury bond price increased with yield dropped by 10.0bps to 1.45%. The positive sentiment partly came from US Senate approval of the US$1.2 trillion Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill on Friday.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><b>\u00a0<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><b>The House agreed on the US infrastructure Bill<\/b><\/span><b><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); font-weight: var(--body_typography-font-weight); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\">Commodity prices (metal and energy) obtained another boost from the passing of the US\u2019 largest-in-decades Infrastructure Bill. WTI oil prices rebounded 3% last Friday following a two-week correction after oil prices reached a 7-year high in October. Natural gas, nickel and copper prices also increased last Friday following the announcement of the passing of this Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill totalling more than US$1.2tn, which includes $550 billion of fresh spending on infrastructure projects in coming years. The extra $550 billion budget is planned to revitalize U.S. transportation systems, roads and bridges, internet connections, and environmental spending, mostly in the next five years. The bill passed after months of wrangling between political powers in The US. This could be an indicator for smooth agreement between Democrats and Republicans for the US debt ceiling agenda in December.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><b>\u00a0<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); color: var(--body_typography-color); font-family: var(--body_typography-font-family); font-size: var(--body_typography-font-size); font-style: var(--body_typography-font-style,normal); letter-spacing: var(--body_typography-letter-spacing);\"><b>JCI corrected as foreign inflow slowed<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">JCI slightly corrected by 0.1% last week and closed at 6.582 on Friday. Industrials (-1.96%) and technology (-0.50%) sectors were leading the negative performance. Foreign investors recorded a net buy of Rp0.6tn in the regular market, slightly lower than the Rp0.7tn net inflow in the previous week. Big-caps stocks are still the primary choices with the highest net buy in KLBF (Rp0.6tn), BMRI (Rp0.3tn), and BBRI (Rp0.2tn).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Indonesia&#8217;s 10Y government bond yield increased by 0.6bps last week, allowing the spread to US 10Y Treasury yields to widen again to 4.6%. However, we expect government bonds would remain strong for the next 1-2 months due to less issuance by the government.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-2 fusion-flex-container gradient-container-2 nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap\" style=\"max-width:1248px;margin-left: calc(-4% \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-2 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-padding-top:1px;--awb-padding-bottom:1207px;--awb-bg-image:url(&#039;https:\/\/star-am.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/20211108-STAR-Insight-Hal-2-scaled.jpg&#039;);--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:1.92%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:0px;--awb-spacing-left-large:1.92%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column fusion-empty-column-bg-image fusion-column-has-bg-image\" data-bg-url=\"https:\/\/star-am.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/20211108-STAR-Insight-Hal-2-scaled.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"fusion-empty-dims-img-placeholder fusion-no-large-visibility\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1619,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2831","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-update"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - 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